Municipal Bond Outlook for 2024

3 min read

Municipal Bond 2024One of the positive aspects of sustained high-interest rates is higher yields on bonds, particularly high-quality municipal bonds. It is possible that 2024 will present a different scenario as the Federal Reserve begins a schedule of monetary easing by reducing interest rates over time. The potential for this strategy, combined with a slowdown in inflation and economic growth – and exacerbated by the potential volatility of a U.S. presidential election – offers a hazy but ultimately positive outlook for municipal bonds.

For now, investors with a long-term outlook (up to 10 years) can take advantage of current high-interest rates before they begin declining. A key recommendation is to focus on the credit quality of muni bond issuers, which is more likely to face adjustments due to lower reserves and unreliable revenue streams during an economic slowdown.

The following are some municipal bond market considerations for long-term investors.

  • While absolute rates are expected to decrease in 2024, muni bonds should continue to offer high yields and strong credit quality.
  • Speaking of credit quality, despite the larger universe of corporate bonds, there are more AAA- and AA-rated munis than corporate bonds. For example, there are only 13 unique issuers of AAA-rated bonds within the Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Bond Index. Of these 13, two comprise the majority of outstanding AAA corporate bonds. This means an investor is better able to diversify assets across a mix of high-quality muni bonds or a municipal bond fund.
  • Remember that munis are generally exempt from federal and state income taxes (when the investor lives in the issuing state) and might therefore provide a higher tax-equivalent yield when compared to yields of other long-term bonds.
  • In order for municipal bond income to be comparable to the after-tax yield of corporate bonds, the investor should be subject to a 45 percent or higher total cumulative tax rate. This is referred to as the “break-even” rate wherein municipal bonds will likely yield more after-tax income.
  • Longer-term, AAA-rated municipal bonds (up to 10 years) are expected to offer greater value compared to shorter-term munis.
  • Credit conditions are expected to continue their upward trend in 2024. As a general rule, municipal bonds are highly rated, but the average credit rating has increased even more since the pandemic. For example, the percentage of AAA- or AA-rated bonds in the Bloomberg U.S. Municipal Bond Index increased from 67 percent (pre-pandemic) to 71.4 percent as of November 2023.
  • Some of the most popular provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act are scheduled to expire in 2025. Demand for muni bonds might soar this year as taxpayers seek more tax-advantaged benefits given the potential loss of itemized deductions and a reduced standard deduction. Look for this sunsetting tax legislation to be a hot issue as this year’s election season gets up and running.

Given the higher yields available for the past 15 years, municipal bond returns are projected to be favorable in the near term. However, be wary of issuers that lack strong reserves and whose revenue streams are linked to economic activity.

Perhaps most importantly, investors should consider their objectives when investing in municipal bonds. If you are already in or nearing retirement, take into account your current tax bracket, the type of account you plan to invest in (taxable or tax-advantaged), credit quality, and time to maturity to effectively assess the value of municipal bond income in your portfolio.

New Email Deliverability Rules: Reaching Gmail and Yahoo Subscribers in 2024

4 min read

New Email Deliverability Rules Gmail and YahooEmail marketing remains the most powerful and effective tool, especially for its high ROI, reach, and engagement. It plays a significant role in business growth. However, more stringent measures are necessary due to evolving threats, hence the recent email deliverability requirements.

Starting this February, major email providers Gmail and Yahoo are implementing stricter email deliverability rules to combat spam and protect user inboxes. This announcement was made by both Google and Yahoo on Oct. 3, 2023, indicating a united effort to enhance email security.

Initially intended for bulk senders (marketers, businesses, and individuals) sending more than 5,000 emails a day, it also applies to senders who send regular emails to their subscribers and meet criteria as per the updated Google Email Sender Guidelines.

Although it may sound strict, there is nothing to worry about. By understanding the rules and adopting best practices, you can ensure your messages land safely in your subscribers’ inboxes.

Key Rules to Remember

  • Domain Authentication is Paramount – Implement security protocols, including Domain Keys Identified Mail (DKIM), Sender Policy Framework (SPF), and Domain-based Message Authentication, Reporting and Conformance (DMARC) to verify your sending domain and prevent spoofing. DKIM digitally signs emails for verification. SPF confirms that sending domain authorization prevents spammers from impersonating and sending messages from your domain, while DMARC specifies the handling of unauthenticated emails. Basically, these protocols confirm your sending domain as legitimate and not from a malicious email spammer or phisher. Although these protocols have been previously considered best practices, many senders have unknowingly or knowingly bypassed them. Some have ignored them, considering them challenging to deploy. Hence, the step to enforce them as mandatory requirements.
  • One-Click Unsubscribe is Mandatory – Make it easy for subscribers to opt out with a clear and accessible unsubscribe link in every email. The unsubscribe requests must be honored within 2 days. You can add an unsubscribe button to the header, whereby recipients can unsubscribe easily instead of marking an email as spam. This will ensure email deliverability is not harmed. Allowing easy unsubscribe also offers the benefit of having an email list of quality subscribers.
  • Maintain a Low Spam Complaint Rate – Keep your spam complaints below 0.3 percent (ideally, this should be below 0.1 percent) to avoid landing in the spam folder or getting blacklisted. Failing to comply with the spam complaint threshold could put the sending domain under review, restricting your email reach.

Beyond the Rules: Deliverability Best Practices

  • Clean and Permission-Based Email Lists – Send only to subscribers who have opted-in, and keep your list clean by removing inactive users and bounced addresses.
  • Personalization and Segmentation – Tailor your emails to individual preferences and segment your list based on demographics, interests, or engagement levels.
  • Mobile-Friendly Design – Ensure your emails are optimized for mobile devices, as most users check their email on smartphones.
  • Subject Line Optimization – Craft compelling and relevant subject lines that invite users to open your emails.
  • Craft High-Quality and Engaging Content – Provide relevant and valuable information to maintain audience interest and avoid being marked as spam.
  • Avoid Spammy Tactics – Avoid excessive images, ALL CAPS text, and misleading content.
  • Engagement and Reputation – Encourage engagement by asking questions, including social media links, and providing valuable content. Positive user interactions improve the sender’s reputation.

Consequences of Ignoring the Rules

Failing to adhere to the new rules can have severe consequences, including:

  • Emails Landing in Spam Folders – Your messages may never reach your intended audience.
  • Domain or IP Blacklisting – Repeated violations can lead to your domain or IP address being blocked by email providers.
  • Decreased Sender Reputation – This can negatively impact your future deliverability rates, affecting domain reputation and overall business performance.

Adapting to the New Landscape

Although these requirements may seem overwhelming, they represent an opportunity to improve your email marketing practices and build stronger relationships with your subscribers. By prioritizing sender authentication, clear communication, and valuable content, you can ensure your emails reach the right inboxes and achieve your marketing goals.

Remember, staying informed about email deliverability best practices and adapting to evolving regulations is crucial for successful email marketing in today’s landscape.

Understanding How Variances Vary

3 min read

how to calculate VariancesVariance analysis is found by determining the difference between what was budgeted and what actually occurred. Additionally, when variances are added together, we get a better picture of how well a company is measuring its performance against expected metrics. It’s also important to be mindful that each metric is measured to determine what the actual cost is versus the industry’s standard cost.

Whether it’s materials, labor, electricity, or another metric, if the actual cost is lower than the standard cost for the same quantity of materials, it would be a favorable price variance. However, if the number of materials was more than the standard quantity, it would be considered an unfavorable variance. Examining variance allows us to analyze the price and quantity of the variable being analyzed. Always keep in mind that unusual or significant variances should be investigated to see why such anomalies exist.

It’s important to distinguish between variances and the types of inputs. When it comes to materials, labor, and similar variable overhead, variances to be analyzed are for price and quantity/efficiency. When it comes to fixed overhead, analysis looks at variances in budget and volume.

One way to conduct variance analysis is through the Column Method. The following example illustrates this:

A business produces widgets. The following assumptions are made:

  • 6,000 widgets are produced in a month
  • Direct labor hours are used as the basis to allocate overhead costs to products
  • Denominator level of activity is 8,060 hours, resulting in $48,360 in fixed overhead expenses budgeted.

Other cost assumptions include:

Direct Costs

Labor: 2.6 hours/widget @ $14 per hour

Materials: 10 pieces/widget @ $1/widget

Overhead

Variable: 2.6 hours/widget @ $8/hour

Fixed: 1.3 hours /widget @ $12/hour

However, the business saw the following costs for the month’s production:

Variable overhead manufacturing costs: $34,000

Fixed overhead manufacturing costs: $50,000

Both of the following are Direct Costs:

Material: 50,000 items bought @ $0.96/widget

Labor: 8,000 hours totaling $128,000

Materials Variance

Real Quantity x Real Price = 50,000 pieces x $0.96 per widget = $48,000

Real Quantity x Industry Price = 50,000 pieces x $1 per widget = $50,000

Standard Quantity x Industry Price = 36,000 pieces x $1 per widget = $36,000

Price Variance = $50,000 – $48,000 = $2,000

Quantity Variance = $50,000 – $36,000 = $14,000

When we find the difference between these two amounts, there’s an unfavorable variance of $12,000. Additionally, it’s worth looking at why there were 50,000 pieces used versus the standardized 36,000 pieces. It could be due to defective materials, problematic machinery, etc.

Labor Variance

Real Hours x Real Rate = 8,000 hours x $16 per hour = $128,000

Real Hours x Industry Rate = 8,000 x $14 per hour = $112,000

Standard Hours x Industry Rate = 7,800 x $14 hour = $109,200

Rate Variance = $112,000 – $128,000 = -$16,000

Efficiency Variance = $109,200 – $112,000 = -$2,800

Based on this calculation, there’s a total unfavorable variance of -$18,800. Management should look at why labor costs are higher than the standard and why production took more supplies than the industry standard.

While this is not all-encompassing, it does show the importance of understanding the nuances of calculating variances and how it’s essential to understanding a business’ (in)efficiency.